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生成带权重的销售预测，输出情景拆解、承诺分层与缺口分析。
复制安装指令，让 AI 自动完成配置 · 推荐新手
请帮我安装 askskill 上的 "forecast" 技能： 1. 下载 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/anthropics/knowledge-work-plugins/main/sales/skills/forecast/SKILL.md 2. 保存为 ~/.claude/skills/forecast/SKILL.md 3. 装好后重载技能，告诉我可以用了
基于以下商机数据，生成本季度销售预测：按最佳/大概率/最差三种情景输出总额，区分 commit 与 upside，并指出距离季度目标还差多少。请给出关键假设和风险商机名单。
一份结构化季度预测，包含三种情景、承诺与增量拆分、目标缺口及风险说明。
我会提供一份 pipeline CSV，请按阶段概率加权计算预计签单额，并评估当前 pipeline coverage 是否足以支持本季度配额。若不足，请按金额列出最需要补充的缺口。
一份按概率加权的预测结果，附带 coverage 判断、缺口金额和优先补充建议。
根据以下商机清单，判断哪些交易应归入 commit，哪些应归入 upside。请说明每笔交易的判断依据，包括阶段、金额、成交概率、时间风险和关键阻碍。
一份逐笔商机分类清单，明确 commit/upside 归类及对应判断理由。
If you see unfamiliar placeholders or need to check which tools are connected, see CONNECTORS.md.
Generate a weighted sales forecast with risk analysis and commit recommendations.
/forecast [period]
Generate a forecast for: $ARGUMENTS
If a file is referenced: @$1
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ FORECAST │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ STANDALONE (always works) │
│ ✓ Upload CSV export from your CRM │
│ ✓ Or paste/describe your pipeline deals │
│ ✓ Set your quota and timeline │
│ ✓ Get weighted forecast with stage probabilities │
│ ✓ Risk-adjusted projections (best/likely/worst case) │
│ ✓ Commit vs. upside breakdown │
│ ✓ Gap analysis and recommendations │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ SUPERCHARGED (when you connect your tools) │
│ + CRM: Pull pipeline automatically, real-time data │
│ + Historical win rates by stage, segment, deal size │
│ + Activity signals for risk scoring │
│ + Automatic refresh and tracking over time │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
Option A: Upload a CSV Export your pipeline from your CRM (e.g. Salesforce, HubSpot). I need at minimum:
Helpful if you have:
Option B: Paste your deals
Acme Corp - $50K - Negotiation - closes Jan 31
TechStart - $25K - Demo scheduled - closes Feb 15
BigCo - $100K - Discovery - closes Mar 30
Option C: Describe your territory "I have 8 deals in pipeline totaling $400K. Two are in negotiation ($120K), three in evaluation ($180K), three in discovery ($100K)."
# Sales Forecast: [Period]
**Generated:** [Date]
**Data Source:** [CSV upload / Manual input / CRM]
---
## Summary
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| **Quota** | $[X] |
| **Closed to Date** | $[X] ([X]% of quota) |
| **Open Pipeline** | $[X] |
| **Weighted Forecast** | $[X] |
| **Gap to Quota** | $[X] |
| **Coverage Ratio** | [X]x |
---
## Forecast Scenarios
| Scenario | Amount | % of Quota | Assumptions |
|----------|--------|------------|-------------|
| **Best Case** | $[X] | [X]% | All deals close as expected |
| **Likely Case** | $[X] | [X]% | Stage-weighted probabilities |
| **Worst Case** | $[X] | [X]% | Only commit deals close |
---
## Pipeline by Stage
| Stage | # Deals | Total Value | Probability | Weighted Value |
|-------|---------|-------------|-------------|----------------|
| Negotiation | [X] | $[X] | 80% | $[X] |
| Proposal | [X] | $[X] | 60% | $[X] |
| Evaluation | [X] | $[X] | 40% | $[X] |
| Discovery | [X] | $[X] | 20% | $[X] |
| **Total** | [X] | $[X] | — | $[X] |
---
## Commit vs. Upside
### Commit (High Confidence)
Deals you'd stake your forecast on:
| Deal | Amount | Stage | Close Date | Why Commit |
|------|--------|-------|------------|------------|
| [Deal] | $[X] | [Stage] | [Date] | [Reason] |
**Total Commit:** $[X]
### Upside (Lower Confidence)
Deals that could close but have risk:
| Deal | Amount | Stage | Close Date | Risk Factor |
|------|--------|-------|------------|-------------|
…
围绕客户问题进行多来源调研与溯源，快速整理背景并支持准确回复。
基于销售与季节性数据，生成未来30天的内容推广优先策略建议